"It is impossible for ideas to
compete in the marketplace if no forum for
their presentation is provided or available."
Thomas Mann, 1896
The Business Forum
Predictions for 2012
By David J.
And . . .
What’s Next for North Korea?
David J. Gardner
The simple answer to “what’s
next for North Korea” is probably just more of the same.
Kim Jung Il did not select his
son, Kim Jung Un, to take over because he would be an agent of
change. He was chosen to preserve the status quo.
Wealth, power and control is in the hands of those who proclaim the
virtues of the North Korean status quo and use crippling fear to
dominate the rest of the people. Considering that he Kim Jung
Un is in his late 20’s, he has the life expectancy to be in control
for a very long time.
If Kim Jung Un wanted to look
for a different economic system and business model, he need only
look to South Korea which enjoys a vibrant economy nearly 40 times
the size of North Korea’s economy. Some economists call North
Korea’s economy medieval — it is completely isolated from the rest
of the world.
Do not expect Kim Jun Un to
look at what is working outside of North Korea. We can
however, expect that when he is faced with a difficult decision Kim
Jung Un will more probably say to himself, “What would my father
have done?” For that is exactly what his father did.
The legacy Kim Jung Il, also
known as “Dear Leader,” can be best described as pathetic:
Reports claim that up to 2 million died of starvation
while he continued to expand his military and nuclear capability.
In North Korea there are insufficient food supplies to
keep the mass of the people from getting adequate nutrition on a
daily basis. Most get about one-third of their nutritional
Gulags account for several million more deaths.
There are reports that the happiest days for these people are when
they are infrequently allowed outside the gulag to eat grass and
weeds, an action that is forbidden inside the gulags.
A few years ago I read a human
about life in the North Koran gulags. The report was very disturbing
— I do not recommend reading it to the more sensitive. One of the
most interesting statements was by a guard who offered that his
greatest fear is that, if the people incarcerated in the gulags were
to turn on them, their sheer numbers would overwhelm the guards
quickly. Imagine if the people in the gulags knew this?
Liberation is closer than any of them know.
North Korea is a fear-based
regime of the greatest proportions: fear of not saying or thinking
the right things, fear of being imprisoned, fear of not having any
food to eat, fear of further loss of liberty. The question, Is
such fear sustainable? It may not be. One need only look at
Libya, Tunisia, or Egypt. North Korea is different, but,
perhaps not entirely resistant to change.
As a management consultant, I
learned long ago not to want something more for a client than the
client wants for themselves. And, the same is true for North
Korea. Until Kim Jung Un realizes that there is a better way,
nothing will change. However, Kim Jung Un is unlikely to place
himself in the precarious situation of offering changes to the
status quo, because those that benefit from the present state of
affairs might just decide to take him out. Sadly, fear has a
complete stranglehold from bottom to the top in North Korea.
Gardner, has held senior management positions in Product Development,
Manufacturing, Sales, Marketing, Customer Service and
Product Management. He joined Tandem Computers in 1979 where
he was responsible for Corporate Documentation Standards for
Tandem's highly configurable and expandable computer
systems. In 1983, he designed and implemented a
Configuration Guide for Dialogic Systems instituting a
process that greatly simplified a complex, modular product
such that the field sales organization and international OEM
customers could easily define their order requirements. This
methodology satisfied the product definition needs of sales,
marketing, engineering, manufacturing, customer service and
finance. David founded his consulting practice in 1991. He
is a graduate of San Jose State University (BA) and Santa
Clara University (MBA). David is a member of the Society for
the Advancement of Consulting (SAC) and has been Board
Approved in the Area of Configurable Product & Services
Strategy and Implementation. In 2010, he was inducted in the
Million Dollar Consultant® Hall of Fame. Out of
over 1,000 consultants who have completed Alan Weiss’s
mentoring program, only 26 have been inducted into the Hall of
Visit the Authors Web Site
Search the ENTIRE Business
Forum site. Search includes the Business
Forum Library, The Business Forum Journal and the Calendar Pages.
Editorial Policy: Nothing you read in
The Business Forum Journal
should ever be construed to
be the opinion of, statements condoned by, or advice
from, The Business Forum, its staff, workers, officers, members, directors, sponsors or shareholders. We pass no opinion whatsoever on the content
of what we publish, nor do we accept any responsibility for the claims, or
any of the statements made, within anything published herein. We merely
aim to provide an academic forum and an information sourcing vehicle for
the benefit of the business and the academic communities of the Pacific States of America
and the World.
Therefore, readers must always determine for themselves where the statistics, comments, statements and
advice that are published herein are gained from and act, or not act, upon such entirely and always at their own risk. We
accept absolutely no liability whatsoever, nor take any responsibility for
what anyone does, or does not do, based upon what is published herein, or
information gained through the use of links to other web sites included
Please refer to our:
Calendar The Business Forum Journal
Contact The Business Forum
The Business Forum
Beverly Hills, California United States of America
© Copyright The Business Forum Institute 1982 - 2012